Reducing PM2.5 and O3 through optimizing urban ecological land form based on its size thresholds

摘要

This study identifies Urban Ecological Land (UEL) in 1068 counties within the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) and analyzes the threshold effect of UEL size on PM2.5 and O3 concentrations using a cross-sectional threshold regression model. It also investigates the impact of UEL form across different size intervals. Quadrant analysis categorizes counties into six types based on their primary pollutants and UEL sizes, enabling differentiated planning strategies. Key findings indicate triple threshold effects for PM2.5 at 4.302%, 8.055%, and 23.742%, and a single threshold effect for O3 at 3.275%. UEL form metrics show varying significances across size intervals. Dispersed and irregular UEL forms are more effective for PM2.5 reduction, while aggregated forms benefit O3 reduction. An evolutionary UEL planning strategy is proposed, tailored to county-specific development stages and pollutant characteristics.

出版物
Atmospheric Pollution Research

摘要

本研究识别了长江经济带1068个县的城市生态用地(UEL),并使用横截面阈值回归模型分析了UEL尺寸对PM2.5和O3浓度的阈值效应。研究还探讨了UEL形态在不同尺寸区间内的影响。通过象限分析,将县域根据主要污染物和UEL尺寸分为六类,以制定差异化的规划策略。主要发现包括:UEL尺寸对PM2.5浓度回归呈现4.302%、8.055%和23.742%的三个阈值效应,对O3浓度回归呈现3.275%的单一阈值效应。UEL形态指标在相同污染物下不同尺寸区间的显著性存在差异。研究表明,分散和不规则的UEL形态更有利于减少PM2.5,而聚集形态则有利于O3的减少。最后,研究提出了一个与县域发展阶段和污染物特征相匹配的进化式UEL规划策略。

Abstract

This study identifies Urban Ecological Land (UEL) in 1068 counties within the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) and analyzes the threshold effect of UEL size on PM2.5 and O3 concentrations using a cross-sectional threshold regression model. It also investigates the impact of UEL form across different size intervals. Quadrant analysis categorizes counties into six types based on their primary pollutants and UEL sizes, enabling differentiated planning strategies. Key findings indicate triple threshold effects for PM2.5 at 4.302%, 8.055%, and 23.742%, and a single threshold effect for O3 at 3.275%. UEL form metrics show varying significances across size intervals. Dispersed and irregular UEL forms are more effective for PM2.5 reduction, while aggregated forms benefit O3 reduction. An evolutionary UEL planning strategy is proposed, tailored to county-specific development stages and pollutant characteristics.

引用格式

@article{2025_apr_ecological_land,
  title={Reducing PM2.5 and O3 through optimizing urban ecological land form based on its size thresholds},
  author={Xin Chen and 蔚芳},
  journal={Atmospheric Pollution Research},
  year={2025},
  doi={https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apr.2025.102466}
}
蔚芳
蔚芳
浙江大学副教授

现任浙江大学建工学院副教授。先后于同济大学获得城市规划学士与硕士学位,美国弗吉尼亚理工大学获得城市管理与规划博士学位。致力于空间规划与人工智能,气候变化与空间优化等方面的研究。主讲课程包括《国土空间规划理论与方法》、《城市经济学》等。已发表中英文书章及学术论文30余篇,其中学术专著7部,研究成果发表于《Landscape and Urban Planning》《Environment and Planning A》《城市规划》等国内外知名SCI/SSCI/EI期刊。主持国家自然科学基金、浙江省自然科学基金等多项科研项目,以及数十项城乡规划与设计实践项目;同时主持包括浙江大学慕课(MOOC)课程在内的十余项教学改革项目。曾获金钥匙国际荣誉协会终身荣誉会员等多项国际学术荣誉;以及全国城乡建设优秀勘察设计奖、建设部城乡建设优秀勘察设计项目、浙江省及杭州市等优秀城乡规划设计奖、我最喜爱的老师等多项荣誉与奖项。现为多个国际学术组织的会员或终身荣誉会员,担任十余种国际学术期刊的审稿人;并担任包括国家自然科学基金、浙江省自然科学基金等在内的诸多基金项目评审专家。